PRAPillar 02 · Curtailment & Congestion

Probabilistic Redispatch Assessment.

Find every thermal violation in every simulated hour, then price the cheapest way to clear them.

A load flow against every N-1 contingency in every simulated hour. Quad-boosters and HVDC links are re-dispatched first; whatever overload is left is costed zonally, nodally or both.

Why it matters nowCurtailment and negative prices make congestion a direct hit on revenue, and one constraint can decide a project. PRA shows what causes it and what it is worth to fix, per asset and per constraint.

Example study

Every overload, located in space and time.

A thermal-violation heatmap across circuits and months. The binding circuit lights up in the peak month. Hover any cell for its severity.

Figures from an example run on a test network.

8,760 hHours screened / yr
3,412Violations detected
71 %Cleared by QB/SW/HVDC
£412 m/yrResidual redispatch
Thermal violation heatmap · circuit × month · 2030 · N-1 set
Hover a cell for severity
What it tells you

71% of overloads disappear once existing network assets are dispatched optimally. The remaining £412m a year sets the floor on what new transmission, storage or demand response is worth.

Try PRA on your own network.